Garbage In, Garbage Out
Dr. Frank’s Analysis is Wrong
Dr. Douglas Frank claims he’s uncovered statistical proof of voter fraud. But every one of the underlying data points he presents is wrong.
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And that’s why you should only get them here.
Yes, Stats and Math DO Matter
An anonymous post claims statistical proof of election fraud in Colorado. All they prove is their own ignorance.
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But that doesn’t mean it’s without value
CPR attempts election analysis. …it goes poorly.
Colorado Public Radio’s laudable attempt to substantiate a false claim in their story opens the door for a primer on common electoral analysis mistakes. Such as not using data from the district in question, using levels instead of rates for comparison, cherry-picking data to fit a pre-set narrative, confusing candidate and district performance, failing to account for differences in district geography, and ignoring Occam’s Razor.
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When CO caucus attendance collapsed, one county weathered the storm
Case Study: Digital Advertising for Event Attendance
Using precisely targeted digital advertising the Gunnison County GOP was able to double caucus registration. Gunnison county ultimately had the fifth-highest caucus turnout of any county in Colorado. Their caucus turnout rate was more than twice the statewide average. All this while Colorado as a whole saw an 80% drop in caucus attendance.
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GOP down further
Colorado Voter Registration – March ’19
The March Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by a further 396 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 571 to now leave Republicans at a 54,391 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Republican fortunes continue to slide
Colorado Voter Registration – February ’19
The February Colorado voter registration numbers saw Republican registration fall by 952 on the month. Additionally, the Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 493 and now puts Republicans at a 53,820 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Republican registration slips further
Colorado Voter Registration – January ’19
The January Colorado voter registration numbers saw Republican registration drop by 975 on the month. Additionally, the Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 830 and now puts Republicans at a 53,327 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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