The Colorado Political District Explorer puts registration trends and competitiveness at your fingertips. This new interactive web application provides historic registration trends, current demographics, and future competitiveness. Information is available for every County, Congressional, State Senate, and State House District in Colorado.
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Colorado’s newly drawn political districts ensure Democrat dominance in the 2022 Congressional, State Senate, and State House races.
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New Maps Paint Colorado Blue
The third round of staff maps produced by the Colorado redistricting and reapportionment committees would result in permanent Republican minorities in all legislative bodies. But just how big a disadvantage will we be at?
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Dr. Douglas Frank claims he’s uncovered statistical proof of voter fraud. But every one of the underlying data points he presents is wrong.
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An anonymous post claims statistical proof of election fraud in Colorado. All they prove is their own ignorance.
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Colorado Public Radio’s laudable attempt to substantiate a false claim in their story opens the door for a primer on common electoral analysis mistakes. Such as not using data from the district in question, using levels instead of rates for comparison, cherry-picking data to fit a pre-set narrative, confusing candidate and district performance, failing to account for differences in district geography, and ignoring Occam’s Razor.
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The August Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 5,673 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 3,579 to now leave Republicans at a 99,715 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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In 2012, the Colorado Republican Party conducted a study on the effectiveness of political direct mail that was published in Political Research Quarterly and finally answered the question — is all this mail doing anything?
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The July Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by 1,196 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 3,278 to now leave Republicans at a 96,136 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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The June Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 1,456 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 2,678 to now leave Republicans at a 92,858 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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The May Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by 1,029 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 343 to now leave Republicans at a 90,180 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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We all knew fundraising was going to take a hit from COVID-19. But how much of a hit did we take? We break down the precise hit to campaign income from the pandemic.
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The April Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by 551 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 3,664 to now leave Republicans at a 89,837 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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We all know that data is very en vogue these days, and not just in political circles. Predictably, this has led to a proliferation of squishy math, soft stats, and outright errors. So let’s go through some of the most common political math fallacies so that you too can ridicule others for making these mistakes. Because we all know public ridicule is the most effective form of instruction.
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The March Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by 209 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 6,901 to now leave Republicans at a 86,173 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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The February Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 2,638 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 6,703 to now leave Republicans at a 79,272 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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The January Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by 92 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 4,065 to now leave Republicans at a 72,569 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Every cycle legislative leadership spends well into the seven figures on our effort to capture or defend competitive legislative races. But our inability to understand which races are actually competitive has resulted in hundreds of thousands of dollars of waste each cycle and mounting losses over the decade.
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Colorado Republican registration up 1,210 in December. The Republican-Democrat gap widened by 1,980 to -68,504 for Republicans.
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As the saying goes — “You’re worth what you’re paid.” So I turned to Colorado’s campaign finance data to find out who Colorado politicos trust/need/rely on the most.
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If there’s one thing I hate, it’s baseless political opinions. So when The Colorado Sun posited the question of the most important story of the year and decade, I analyzed their own data to find the answer.
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Colorado Republican registration up 242 in November. The Republican-Democrat gap widened by 421 to -66,524 for Republicans.
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The October Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 1,362 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 3,009 to now leave Republicans at a 66,103 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Colorado Voter Registration – September ’19
The September Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 1,513 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 2,959 to now leave Republicans at a 63,094 registration disadvantage to Democrats. The electoral mix deteriorated by more than expected likely as a result of a 130,000 piece voter registration mailing that was sent out by the […]
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The August Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 1,607 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 2,045 to now leave Republicans at a 60,135 registration disadvantage to Democrats. Despite the continuing deterioration in Republican’s registration advantage the trend is evolving as originally expected.
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The July Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 1,535 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 1,611 to now leave Republicans at a 58,090 registration disadvantage to Democrats. Despite the continuing deterioration in Republican’s registration advantage the trend is evolving as originally expected.
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The June Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration up by 559 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 1,223 to now leave Republicans at a 56,479 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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The May Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by a further 664 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 722 to now leave Republicans at a 55,256 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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The April Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by a further 138 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 143 to now leave Republicans at a 54,534 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Ranking Colorado’s best (and worst) Republican legislative candidates. Where every candidate this decade ranks across three objective measures of success.
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The March Colorado voter registration numbers had Republican registration down by a further 396 on the month. The Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 571 to now leave Republicans at a 54,391 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Colorado Republicans faced an onslaught of Democrat cash in the 2018 election. But would having more money have saved us? Or are we just spending it wrong?
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The February Colorado voter registration numbers saw Republican registration fall by 952 on the month. Additionally, the Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 493 and now puts Republicans at a 53,820 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Just how bad for Republicans has migration from California to Colorado been? We examine the impact of people moving into the state on partisan registration.
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Did same day voter registration impact the 2018 election results? We examined new voter registrations during the final month of the election to find out.
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Overview of the number of recall petition signatures required in each Colorado legislative district.
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The January Colorado voter registration numbers saw Republican registration drop by 975 on the month. Additionally, the Republican-Democrat registration gap widened by 830 and now puts Republicans at a 53,327 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Ranking Colorado’s best (and worst) Republican candidates shows that it’s still possible for Republicans to win. But only if we study the right campaigns.
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Colorado voters are traditionally free-thinking, moderate and prone to split tickets. Are they now following the national trend of increasing polarization? The evidence shows they are. But, it doesn’t mean candidates can’t break through.
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Female Democrat voters are leaving their party and registering as Republican. But, both parties have also seen their supporters leave to become Unaffiliated.
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A deep analysis of Colorado voter turnout in the 2018 midterm and what it means for Colorado’s political future as the state continues to drift to the left.
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December 2018 Voter Registration
Republican registration fell by 55,288 on the month. The Republican advantage relative to Democrats grew 69 voters. Republicans now have a 52,497 registration disadvantage to Democrats.
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Young voters still don’t turnout like they should. Contrary to claims recently covered by The Sun, voters under 46 are still underrepresented.
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There’s a claim circulating that Trump voters stayed home in 2018. We investigate the validity of this claim.
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November Voter Registration
November saw a voter registration increase of 21,562 voters. Republican registration grew by 3,479 on the month. However, the Republican registration disadvantage expanded by 4,905 to -52,566, a new worst ever.
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In the wake of the disastrous defeat that Colorado Republicans suffered this year people are in a frenzy to lay the blame on someone. But, where should that blame actually fall?
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October Voter Registration
Overall voter registration grew by 52,707 voters in October. Republican registration grew by 7,330 on the month. However, the Republican v. Democrat deficit expanded by 8,454 to -47,661.
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