But that doesn’t mean it’s without value

• Ben
• November 23, 2020
• 1 Comment

Colorado Public Radio’s laudable attempt to substantiate a false claim in their story opens the door for a primer on common electoral analysis mistakes. Such as not using data from the district in question, using levels instead of rates for comparison, cherry-picking data to fit a pre-set narrative, confusing candidate and district performance, failing to account for differences in district geography, and ignoring Occam’s Razor.

Beware these stats and those using them

• Ben
• April 18, 2020
• No Comments

We all know that data is very en vogue these days, and not just in political circles. Predictably, this has led to a proliferation of squishy math, soft stats, and outright errors. So let’s go through some of the most common political math fallacies so that you too can ridicule others for making these mistakes. Because we all know public ridicule is the most effective form of instruction.

How CO Republicans Lose Before They Ever Start

• Ben
• February 2, 2020
• No Comments

Every cycle legislative leadership spends well into the seven figures on our effort to capture or defend competitive legislative races. But our inability to understand which races are actually competitive has resulted in hundreds of thousands of dollars of waste each cycle and mounting losses over the decade.

Who knew the news could be turned into so many graphs?

• Ben
• May 13, 2019
• No Comments

This daily update has historically been reserved for campaigns that we are actively managing. However, now that we are opening up access to a wider audience I thought a short primer might be helpful.